The Carlyle Group Stock Performance

CGABL Stock  USD 17.71  0.03  0.17%   
Carlyle has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.22, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Carlyle's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Carlyle is expected to be smaller as well. Carlyle Group right now shows a risk of 0.5%. Please confirm Carlyle Group treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if Carlyle Group will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Carlyle Group are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite persistent fundamental drivers, Carlyle is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price mess, may contribute to short-term losses for the institutional investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.2
Five Day Return
(0.23)
Year To Date Return
1.9
Ten Year Return
(28.90)
All Time Return
(28.90)
Dividend Date
2026-11-15
1
UBS Assumes Buy Rating for Carlyle Group with New Price T - GuruFocus
12/11/2025
2
3 Reasons Investors Love Carlyle - Finviz
01/12/2026
3
Weekly Recap Is The Carlyle Group Inc a cyclical or defensive stock - 2025 Fundamental Recap Weekly Chart Analysis and Trade Guides - baoquankhu1.vn
01/16/2026
4
Carlyle Group Valuation Check After Recent Choppy Trading And Mixed Short Term Returns - simplywall.st
01/23/2026
5
Implied Volatility Surging for Carlyle Group Stock Options - Yahoo Finance
01/30/2026
6
Carlyles list of energy investments as it eyes Lukoil assets worth 22 billion - marketscreener.com
02/02/2026
7
Acquisition by Schwartz Harvey M of 2031602 shares of Carlyle subject to Rule 16b-3
02/04/2026
8
Rival bidders pursue Lukoil assets despite Carlyle deal, sources say - marketscreener.com
02/05/2026
9
Barclays Raises Price Target for Carlyle Group to 71 CG Stock News - GuruFocus
02/09/2026
10
Carlyle Group Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Hold by Brokerages - MarketBeat
02/13/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.4 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.6 M
Free Cash FlowB

Carlyle Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,722  in The Carlyle Group on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  49.00  from holding The Carlyle Group or generate 2.85% return on investment over 90 days. The Carlyle Group is currently producing 0.0472% returns and takes up 0.4975% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded stocks are less volatile than Carlyle, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Carlyle is expected to generate 2.36 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.49 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Carlyle Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Carlyle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.71 90 days 17.71 
roughly 2.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlyle to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This The Carlyle Group probability density function shows the probability of Carlyle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Carlyle has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Carlyle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Carlyle Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Carlyle Group has an alpha of 0.0032, implying that it can generate a 0.003238 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Carlyle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Carlyle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlyle Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2117.7118.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0117.5118.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.4217.9218.42
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2417.6620.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Carlyle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Carlyle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Carlyle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Carlyle Group.

Carlyle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlyle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlyle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Carlyle Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlyle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Carlyle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlyle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlyle Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carlyle Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carlyle Group Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Hold by Brokerages - MarketBeat

Carlyle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlyle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding368 M
Dividends Paid503 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.3 B

Carlyle Fundamentals Growth

Carlyle Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Carlyle, and Carlyle fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Carlyle Stock performance.

About Carlyle Performance

By examining Carlyle's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Carlyle's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Carlyle is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand(10.99)(11.54)
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.11 

Things to note about Carlyle Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlyle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlyle Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Carlyle Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Latest headline from news.google.com: Carlyle Group Inc. Given Average Recommendation of Hold by Brokerages - MarketBeat
Evaluating Carlyle's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Carlyle's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Carlyle's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Carlyle's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Carlyle's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Carlyle's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Carlyle's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Carlyle's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Carlyle's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Carlyle's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Carlyle's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Carlyle Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Carlyle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Carlyle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Carlyle Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in The Carlyle Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Investment Banking & Brokerage space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlyle. Projected growth potential of Carlyle fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Carlyle assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Return On Equity
0.6868
Carlyle Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Carlyle's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Carlyle's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Carlyle's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Carlyle's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Carlyle should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Carlyle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.